Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.0%
Chesterfield
17.1%
Draw
13.8%
Eastleigh
Expected Goals (xG)
2.73
Chesterfield
vs
1.20
Eastleigh
Markets
BTTS65.8%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.575.1%
Over 3.555.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
3-1
8.0%
2-0
7.3%
1-1
7.0%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
1-0
4.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-0
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
4-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).