Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.9%
Valencia
25.8%
Draw
46.3%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Valencia
vs
1.57
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.0%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
0-0
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).