Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.3%
Lecce
29.0%
Draw
30.8%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Lecce
vs
0.98
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).