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06 Dec 2025 · 19:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.4%
Piast Gliwice
29.8%
Draw
28.8%
Legia Warszawa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Piast Gliwice

vs
1.06

Legia Warszawa

Markets

BTTS48.8%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
10.5%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).