Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.0%
Paris SG
22.2%
Draw
46.9%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Paris SG
vs
1.74
Aris
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
0-0
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).