Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.4%
Eibar
26.5%
Draw
21.1%
Ceuta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Eibar
vs
0.81
Ceuta
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
11.0%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.5%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).