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26 Apr 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.0%
Cercle Brugge
24.2%
Draw
45.8%
St Truiden

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Cercle Brugge

vs
1.79

St Truiden

Markets

BTTS63.6%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
0-1
6.7%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.1%
0-0
4.7%
2-0
4.1%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).