Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.3%
Venezia
13.6%
Draw
5.1%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
2.70
Venezia
vs
0.58
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.7%
3-0
12.3%
1-0
9.6%
4-0
8.3%
2-1
8.0%
3-1
7.2%
1-1
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-0
4.5%
0-0
4.4%
5-1
2.6%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).