Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.8%
Bideford
20.2%
Draw
61.0%
Melksham Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Bideford
vs
2.05
Melksham Town
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-1
9.4%
1-3
6.8%
0-3
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
2-1
5.0%
1-0
5.0%
0-0
4.2%
2-3
3.5%
1-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).