Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.0%
Holstein Kiel
23.2%
Draw
38.8%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Holstein Kiel
vs
1.82
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS70.7%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.570.3%
Over 3.549.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.4%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-2
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
0-1
4.2%
1-0
4.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).