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HHT: 11CSV

10 Apr 2021 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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74.1%
Cremonese
17.1%
Draw
8.8%
Pordenone

Expected Goals (xG)

2.48

Cremonese

vs
0.77

Pordenone

Markets

BTTS49.9%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.540.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.9%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.9%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
6.1%
4-1
4.7%
0-0
4.6%
2-2
3.5%
5-0
3.0%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).