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DHT: 00CSV

05 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.8%
Getafe
30.2%
Draw
23.0%
Sevilla

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Getafe

vs
0.79

Sevilla

Markets

BTTS39.6%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.515.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.7%
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-0
10.2%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).