Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.5%
Napoli
19.5%
Draw
14.9%
Torino
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Napoli
vs
0.88
Torino
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
4.9%
0-1
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
4.1%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).