Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.4%
Lille
26.1%
Draw
17.4%
Le Havre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Lille
vs
0.67
Le Havre
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.7%
2-0
12.7%
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.3%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
2.8%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).