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15 Mar 2025 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.1%
Mallorca
25.2%
Draw
26.7%
Espanol

Expected Goals (xG)

1.64

Mallorca

vs
1.16

Espanol

Markets

BTTS55.9%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
6.6%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).