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24 Aug 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.1%
Grenoble
25.9%
Draw
25.0%
Chateauroux

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

Grenoble

vs
0.86

Chateauroux

Markets

BTTS41.6%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.9%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
10.0%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).