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AHT: 00CSV

11 Mar 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.0%
Empoli
26.6%
Draw
44.5%
Udinese

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Empoli

vs
1.38

Udinese

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
8.6%
0-2
8.3%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).