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18 Feb 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.3%
Stockport
24.2%
Draw
21.5%
Stevenage

Expected Goals (xG)

1.59

Stockport

vs
0.89

Stevenage

Markets

BTTS46.2%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.0%
0-0
7.9%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).