Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.8%
Alaves
25.0%
Draw
13.2%
Villarreal B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Alaves
vs
0.56
Villarreal B
Markets
BTTS33.5%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.0%
2-0
14.6%
0-0
12.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
7.5%
0-1
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-0
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.3%
0-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).