Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.2%
Falkirk
25.6%
Draw
14.2%
St Mirren
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Falkirk
vs
0.65
St Mirren
Markets
BTTS38.9%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
2-0
13.5%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
4-0
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).