Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.4%
Karpaty
28.3%
Draw
18.3%
Livyi Bereh
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Karpaty
vs
0.69
Livyi Bereh
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
12.0%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.2%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).