Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Wolfsburg
24.6%
Draw
38.5%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Wolfsburg
vs
1.66
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS65.7%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
0-1
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
0-2
5.2%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
0-0
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
2-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).