Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.3%
Lech Poznań
25.3%
Draw
28.4%
Zagłębie Lubin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Lech Poznań
vs
1.33
Zagłębie Lubin
Markets
BTTS61.7%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
5.2%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).