Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.3%
Ulm
29.5%
Draw
45.2%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Ulm
vs
1.40
Hertha
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
10.5%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).