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29 Dec 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.5%
Blackpool
22.5%
Draw
25.1%
Rotherham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.66

Blackpool

vs
1.05

Rotherham

Markets

BTTS51.8%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.0%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.1%
0-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).