Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.7%
Sassuolo
22.8%
Draw
17.5%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Sassuolo
vs
0.83
Spezia
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
2-0
11.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).