Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
Cambridge
24.9%
Draw
23.7%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Cambridge
vs
0.86
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
0-1
9.8%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).