Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.8%
FC Koln
13.9%
Draw
78.3%
Hednesford Town
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
FC Koln
vs
2.55
Hednesford Town
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.0%
0-3
11.0%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
1-3
7.4%
0-4
7.0%
1-1
6.6%
1-4
4.7%
0-0
3.8%
0-5
3.6%
2-2
2.9%
1-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).