Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.2%
Crewe
27.1%
Draw
38.7%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Crewe
vs
1.21
Notts County
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).