Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.8%
Lecce
29.5%
Draw
22.7%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Lecce
vs
0.74
Monza
Markets
BTTS36.7%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.558.2%
Over 2.531.4%
Over 3.513.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
4.7%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).