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HHT: 21CSV

20 Jun 2020 · 20:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.7%
Verona
26.0%
Draw
48.2%
Cagliari

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Verona

vs
1.46

Cagliari

Markets

BTTS47.8%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.9%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
8.5%
2-1
6.1%
0-3
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).