Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.6%
Napoli
15.5%
Draw
7.9%
Verona
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33
Napoli
vs
0.60
Verona
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.6%
1-0
12.6%
3-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
7.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-0
6.6%
0-0
5.2%
4-1
3.9%
0-1
3.3%
5-0
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).