Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.9%
Elversberg
26.8%
Draw
25.3%
Paderborn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Elversberg
vs
1.14
Paderborn
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).