Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.1%
Las Palmas
20.0%
Draw
8.9%
Ibiza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Las Palmas
vs
0.49
Ibiza
Markets
BTTS32.9%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
2-0
16.5%
3-0
10.3%
0-0
9.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-0
4.9%
0-1
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).