Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Avellino
28.8%
Draw
30.8%
Mantova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Avellino
vs
1.19
Mantova
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.3%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).