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AHT: 01CSV

20 Dec 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.0%
Fulham
22.2%
Draw
17.8%
Sheffield United

Expected Goals (xG)

2.06

Fulham

vs
1.04

Sheffield United

Markets

BTTS57.2%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
1-0
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.5%
0-0
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
5.0%
0-1
4.0%
3-2
3.6%
4-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).