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25 Apr 2021 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.6%
Yeni Malatyaspor
33.7%
Draw
47.7%
Ankaragucu

Expected Goals (xG)

0.81

Yeni Malatyaspor

vs
1.40

Ankaragucu

Markets

BTTS44.8%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.6%
0-0
14.2%
0-1
12.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
0-4
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).