Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.5%
Alcorcon
31.7%
Draw
39.7%
Extremadura UD
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Alcorcon
vs
1.03
Extremadura UD
Markets
BTTS36.1%
Over 0.584.6%
Over 1.555.3%
Over 2.528.5%
Over 3.511.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.2%
0-0
15.4%
1-1
13.2%
1-0
13.0%
0-2
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
5.3%
0-3
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).