Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Bedfont Sports
19.6%
Draw
54.9%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Bedfont Sports
vs
2.25
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS69.1%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.572.1%
Over 3.551.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.0%
1-1
7.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
6.0%
2-1
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
2-3
5.0%
0-3
4.5%
1-0
3.8%
1-4
3.8%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).