Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.3%
Nantes
22.4%
Draw
15.3%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Nantes
vs
0.68
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
2-0
13.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.7%
3-0
7.5%
0-1
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
4-0
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).