Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Lechia Gdańsk
22.4%
Draw
31.6%
Jagiellonia Białystok
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Lechia Gdańsk
vs
1.71
Jagiellonia Białystok
Markets
BTTS72.4%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.589.9%
Over 2.573.0%
Over 3.552.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
3-2
5.0%
2-0
4.9%
2-3
4.1%
1-0
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).