Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.9%
Guimaraes
20.6%
Draw
18.5%
Portimonense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Guimaraes
vs
0.97
Portimonense
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.9%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
0-0
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).