Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.1%
Galatasaray
7.6%
Draw
2.3%
Hatayspor
Expected Goals (xG)
3.96
Galatasaray
vs
0.73
Hatayspor
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.595.4%
Over 2.584.7%
Over 3.568.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.5%
4-0
9.4%
5-0
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.0%
4-1
6.9%
5-1
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
1-1
3.3%
1-0
3.0%
3-2
2.5%
4-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).