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AHT: 01

15 Mar 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.5%
Southampton
30.1%
Draw
50.4%
Wolverhampton Wanderers

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Southampton

vs
1.46

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Markets

BTTS44.6%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
0-1
13.3%
0-0
12.0%
0-2
10.9%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
6.7%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
5.0%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
3.5%
0-4
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).