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AHT: 11CSV

05 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.9%
Accrington
23.7%
Draw
47.3%
Blackpool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Accrington

vs
1.50

Blackpool

Markets

BTTS50.8%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.2%
1-1
11.2%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.3%
2-1
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).