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AHT: 01CSV

20 Jun 2020 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.2%
Denizlispor
27.6%
Draw
58.2%
Besiktas

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Denizlispor

vs
1.85

Besiktas

Markets

BTTS51.1%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.7%
0-0
9.4%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-0
3.1%
1-4
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).