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18 Mar 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.9%
Gateshead
23.0%
Draw
54.1%
Torquay

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Gateshead

vs
2.03

Torquay

Markets

BTTS63.4%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.542.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.6%
0-1
6.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
5.1%
0-0
4.5%
2-3
4.2%
1-0
3.9%
1-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).