Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Werder Bremen
26.5%
Draw
30.8%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Werder Bremen
vs
1.28
Hertha
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-1
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).