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AHT: 11CSV

18 Apr 2021 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.1%
Buyuksehyr
24.7%
Draw
48.3%
Fenerbahce

Expected Goals (xG)

1.62

Buyuksehyr

vs
2.16

Fenerbahce

Markets

BTTS73.0%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.591.1%
Over 2.572.8%
Over 3.552.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.0%
1-2
8.6%
2-2
7.0%
2-1
6.5%
1-3
6.2%
0-2
5.3%
2-3
5.0%
0-0
4.3%
0-3
3.8%
3-2
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
1-4
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).