Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.3%
Sociedad B
22.9%
Draw
12.9%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Sociedad B
vs
0.61
Lugo
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
2-0
14.4%
1-1
10.1%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
8.2%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.0%
4-0
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).